Wanted by the FBI

Wanted for committing sexual acts on a minor:

https://www.fbi.gov/wanted/cac/bruce-emerson-sawhill

 

 

 

Neil S. Siskind, Esq., President
The Siskind Law Firm
Tel: 646.530.0006

Neil Siskind is the Founder & Chairman of The Fatherhood Assignment
Neil-Siskind-photo
Learn more at:  http://www.neil-siskind-the-fatherhood-assignment.org/

Neil Siskind is the Conservator of the Neil S. Siskind Nature Preserve
Neil-Siskind-Picture

The Neil S. Siskind Nature Preserve is over 7 acres of environmentally-pristine waterfront land in a magnificent setting along New York’s majestic Hudson River. The Preserve includes a variety of species of animal and plant life, and is a precious example of the thoughtful maintenance of New York’s priceless open spaces. The land’s uses are limited to outdoor recreation such as hiking and climbing, and the study of ecology, nature and land use. The Neil S. Siskind Nature Preserve allows for the intelligent contemplation of our valuable natural resources and the most effective ways to maximize them and keep them protected.

Neil Siskind, Founder, “National Fatherhood Day” – March 29th

Neil-Siskind-pics
To encourage recognition of the needs of boys and girls who are living without fathers or father-figures in their lives.

Read about the non-profits and charities whose missions Neil Siskind supports and promotes: www.neilsiskindsupports.com
Caring is Free®

You can read what clients and associates say about Neil Siskind at: http://siskindlawfirm.com/neil-siskind-bio/.

Neil Siskind’s Volunteer Work:

– Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, Volunteer

– Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, My Fundraiser- Help Neil Siskind help children with cancer to be more comfortable: http://mskcc.convio.net/site/TR?px=3182108&fr_id=2632&pg=personal

– Make-A Wish Foundation- Help Neil Siskind make sick children’s wishes come true by creating your own fundraiser: Neil-Siskind/Help-Make-A-Child-Smile.htm

– DonorsChoose.org- Donate to one of my needy public classrooms: http://www.donorschoose.org/NeilSiskindGiving

– Champion Children– We seek to inspire people through stories of children who have overcome challenges: http://siskindlawfirm.com/neil-siskind-champion-children/


Neil Siskind’s Pro Bono
Work:

– Saving Senior Citizens- Protecting New York’s senior citizens from fraud and financial abuse www.savingseniorcitizens.com

– Senior FreeStart Business– Pro Bono: We seek to help put senior citizens in the right direction so that they can face the challenges of the modern economy: http://siskindlawfirm.com/free-start-business/

– Veteran FreeStart Business– Pro Bono: We seek to help put Iraq and Afghanistan war veterans in the right direction so that they can face the challenges of the modern economy: http://siskindlawfirm.com/free-start-business/

– In development: The Neil S. Siskind School of Hope: A free school to teach inner-city youths the skills of entrepreneurship and importance of economic self-sufficiency.

Neil Siskind’s Government Work:

– Suffolk County District Attorney’s Office, Boston, MA, 1994, Intern
– Office of Senator Christopher J. Dodd, Newington, CT, 1992, Intern
– Hartford County Department of Probation, Hartford, CT, 1991, Intern

Neil Siskind’s Community Assistance:

Financed & operated a legal clinic providing low-cost legal services to struggling Long Islanders during the recession to help clients resolve debt, organize finances, and launch new businesses.

Neil Siskind’s Professional Curriculum Vitae: http://neilsiskind.com/

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The Complete Guide To The Ways To Manufacture & Sell Your Products

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How The Evolution Of Retail Will Affect The Economy

By Neil S. Siskind

 

The coming economic (and stock market) crash may not be caused by announcements of corporate earnings shortfalls or impending interest rate hikes, and, thus, in the market’s immediate desire for equity multiple compression, and a rapid sell-off. It also may not be caused by any comments or actions of President Trump, any events in or around North Korea, or any irrational exuberance occurring in technology stocks. It will likely start on “main street”, and it will be either an economic event or a social crisis culminating in the awareness and wide acknowledgement of an existing structural economic dilemma that forebodes long-term future earnings pressures due to pervasive and persistently high unemployment and low wages. The on-going evolution of retail will be such “event” or “crisis”.

Nationally, gas stations have been closing in droves for years. The ones that remain open are only marginally profitable, if at all. In the past 24 months, and in the past 6-9 months, in particular, restaurants, nationwide, are also closing in droves (much, if not all, due to the Internet and other technological factors), even those restaurants that have been in business for 30, 40, 50 years. Retail stores across America are closing in droves- even retail stores that have been in place for 40, 50, 60 years- because of the Internet (Amazon, in particular, and e-commerce, more generally).

Remember, it is not only the employees in retail stores and restaurants (mostly unskilled workers) who lose jobs when their companies close- but also employees (and business owners) of their respective support services- e.g. store cleaning companies, window washing businesses, store display and store racking manufacturers and distributors, store signage and awning companies, electricians, restaurant equipment suppliers and cleaners, and on, and on (even landlords- who need the rental income from stores to pay their mortgages and property taxes- suffer). And don’t forget all the local daycare centers handling the children of retail workers, and the companies who print-up coupons, vehicle wraps, and other retail marketing materials. These services around the nation can not just pivot to offer their services to factories in China or distribution centers in Illinois that are now manufacturing, marketing, and shipping directly to the consumer. It’s just “lost work”.

Consider, too, that when consumers shop from home for items such as apparel and home goods, they do not pass-by other stores, such as liquor stores, and make impulse buys. So, the pain of brick and mortar retailers, due to online competition, causes pain in other brick and mortar retailers, even though such other retailers, like liquor stores, may not have equally as big online competition- it’s just a domino affect. The ripple effects throughout the economy from this retail evolution will be far more profound and damaging to the economy than is being assumed and/or reported. You rarely, if ever, see interviews on CNBC of people who were laid-off as the result of brick and mortar bankruptcies, downsizings, or store closings.

It is not as if the employees of such retail stores can go work for Citibank or Home Depot. They don’t have the skills and/or these big companies can’t absorb all the employees. Creative destruction completely destroys many- permanently. People who work in stores can’t just drive hundreds of miles to, instead, work in warehouses/distribution centers that sell direct to consumer. It’s not that simple. There are families involved, expenses required, and likely pay-cuts and longer hours required- and this is if a distribution center- or some other back-end aspect of technology businesses- are even hiring and are even located nearby. Moreover, e-commerce retailers (the ones that Amazon is not driving out of business) often have their customer service and shipping services handled overseas. So, a brick and mortar worker can not just go work for an e-commerce retailer. (E-commerce companies, themselves, are concerned about, and are suffering from, their product category being “Amazoned”- meaning that Amazon could enter into their supply chain by buying product direct from manufacturers and reselling product to consumers, just as Amazon has done in the auto aftermarket category.)

Moreover, I see long-lived product distributors that have had years, and even generations of success, closing shop or seeking to sell themselves because their channels for products have been consolidated considerably by the growth of big box retailers. For example, a widget wholesaler that sold its widgets to a hundred retail hardware stores for 50 years, because those stores have closed, now have to sell into Lowe’s and Home Deport- or die. Many of them die. Home Depot can’t buy from everyone- and in many cases, they buy from, or own, their own factories. They don’t need the supplier. So, job losses due to the retail evolution are occurring at the wholesale and manufacturing levels, too.

One (of many) noteworthy results you are seeing from these non-skilled worker job losses, is a rush by these workers into a (low-skill and low wage) job that can not be outsourced, or “Amazoned”, or replaced by a sudden new technology; how many dog-walkers do you see in your neighborhood? Are we headed for a society of only large corporations…and their dog-walkers?

The Fed’s recent comment that there is no price inflation, but there is job growth, is, in and of itself, a riddle and a conundrum. It (the Fed) is suggesting that companies have no pricing power- but are hiring. That really makes no sense- like much of what comes out of the Fed. This is a topic that, in and of itself, requires its own debate on what this evidences, and what it indicates or portends. It requires a careful look into which employees are being measured- and which are not being considered. At a minimum, I’d suggest that, part-time, not full time workers, are being hired, and that wages will long be under pressure. In other words, inflation is dead (except for Amazon, who will, at this rate, control all the pricing of products in America, and perhaps, the world, if things continue this way). Even if there have been job increases in technology, for instance, it does not mean that all the retail and retail-related job losses can be ignored. The losses will affect consumer spending (and crime rates) unless many of such job losses are absorbed by large national retail companies and technology companies. I don’t think that the retail layoffs and related downstream (and upstream) layoffs are yet appearing in the numbers- or are being properly accounted for. For examples: (i) Many retail workers (such as waiters and busboys) are paid mostly, or entirely, in tips- so it can be impossible to measure their new unemployed status; (ii) A clothing boutique owner who closes her boutique after 10 years due to growing e-commerce competition, and who is now without a business, is unlikely to file for unemployment- for a variety of reasons.

The retail closures and losses on “main street” will “trickle-up” to Wall Street. Perhaps there will not be “imminent” earnings losses that will cause stock prices to fall, since many companies sell worldwide, and by keeping input (labor) costs low, they can keep profits high (for the time being)- but the social fallout from brick and mortar retail destruction (including stores, restaurants, and all the respective support services and all of their suppliers) will affect the greater society, and, eventually, profits; and God forbid an interest rate increase (or any other factor) slows down housing, affecting household wealth and all the housing support services, causing more “main street” job losses- let’s just say it would not be good.

It isn’t only retail- and all its labor- that is being decimated by technology and the mammoth size of companies. Even Snap, Inc., owner of Snapchat, a company with millions and millions of customers, the most creative and cutting edge of products, billionaire investors and underwriters, and that operates in two of the most desired and modern industries, Social Media and Augmented Reality, is seeing its stock price decline and profit picture limited as the result of Facebook’s (and Instagram’s) constant stealing of its ideas and use of its wealth to try to put Snap, Inc. out of business- just as Amazon is seeking to do to all other retailers (and even to companies in non-retail sectors). Large companies have become so large that their financial resources are insurmountable, and they are are muscling any smaller businesses, and small business, in general, right out of the economy- and all of the U.S.-based labor that goes with it- and they are rewarded as their stock prices keep rising……for now.

None of this is good for U.S. employment, or for wage growth, or for consumer spending, or for profits and stocks, or for society.

_ _ _

About the Author

Neil Siskind is: President of The Siskind Law Firm, focused on product investments, trademark licensing, product distribution, and real estate; Founder & Chairman of The Fatherhood Assignment™, a think tank and advocate for children with absentee fathers; Founder of the global charity marketing initiative, Caring is Free®; Founder of National Fatherhood Day™; Owner & Conservator of The Neil S. Siskind Nature Preserve, over 7 acres of conserved waterfront land along New York’s majestic Hudson River; and author of The Complete Guide To The Ways To Manufacture & Sell Your Products.

Other Recent Articles by Neil S. Siskind:

The Reason O.J. Should Not Have Been Paroled, By Neil Siskind

During his recent parole hearing in Nevada, on the topic of the use of weapons, O.J. Simpson said, “I have never pulled a gun on anyone in my life- and no one has ever accused me of pulling any kind of weapon on them.” This evidences a delusional and dangerous mind. This evidences someone who does not understand what it means to pull a weapon on someone- or what it means to be accused of pulling a weapon on someone. Even if O.J. is truly not guilty of the murders of Nicole Brown Simpson and Ron Goldman, this was still a false statement, because O.J. was, in fact, accused of pulling a weapon on someone (on two people, actually).

The Nevada parole board not only agreed to set free a man who denied having pulled a weapon on someone ever in his life- but it also agreed to release a man who denied even ever being accused of (and tried for) such- which is delusional … and alarming.

ESPN Brand Is Out of Touch- And Annoying

ESPN has been struggling with ratings for some time. In 2016, the network blamed lower sports viewership on the widely-followed presidential campaign. After the election and inauguration, there was no bounce-back, so ESPN announced significant talent layoffs (and, presumably, behind the camera and office staff layoffs). What is the real problem at ESPN?

Here are my thoughts:

First, sports is supposed to be an escape for viewers. But ESPN is so overly-analytical and technical about sports, it simply becomes irritating. It feels like we are at work. It is just TMI (Too Much Information) or TMD (Too Much Data) to absorb (and, of course, this all ties-back to too many media outlets, the Internet element, in general, and everyone trying to out-scoop each other on topics and stories).

Second, everything on ESPN now is about money. All ESPN conversations lead to who is making what, how much they are worth, and what they should accept, etc.- money, money, money. Again, sports entertainment is supposed to be an escape- not a constant reminder of all our own money concerns- and shortfalls.

Third, ESPN constantly degrades NBA teams and wrongly reports that no trade in the NBA matters because no team will beat Golden State. So they undermine and undercut every interesting strategy and trade that goes on throughout the league. What ESPN anchors fail to understand, seemingly, or at least to honor, is that when a superstar goes to a team, it increases a franchise’s ticket sales, jersey sales, their vendors’ food sales, television ratings, and general intangibles, such as city-wide excitement. Thus, these trades matter much, both in terms of money AND fun. People want to see James Harden, Lebron James, Russel Westbrook, Kawhi Leonard, and so many other exciting and entertaining athletes do their things.

I do not believe that it is only the lack of competition in the NBA that is hurting ESPN. It is also ESPN’s spin on the issue that if a team can’t win the NBA championship, that their whole existence as an entertainment vehicle for fans, and as a profit vehicle for owners is pointless and irrelevant; that nothing any team does matters. It’s too negative a tone.

To diminish every trade and every team, and, thus, demoralize every viewer who does not root for Golden State, is annoying, off-point, and a good reason to change the channel.

 

Neil S. Siskind, Esq., President
The Siskind Law Firm
Tel: 646.530.0006

Neil Siskind is the Founder & Chairman of The Fatherhood Assignment
Neil-Siskind-photo
Learn more at:  http://www.neil-siskind-the-fatherhood-assignment.org/

Neil Siskind is the Conservator of the Neil S. Siskind Nature Preserve
Neil-Siskind-Picture

The Neil S. Siskind Nature Preserve is over 7 acres of environmentally-pristine waterfront land in a magnificent setting along New York’s majestic Hudson River. The Preserve includes a variety of species of animal and plant life, and is a precious example of the thoughtful maintenance of New York’s priceless open spaces. The land’s uses are limited to outdoor recreation such as hiking and climbing, and the study of ecology, nature and land use. The Neil S. Siskind Nature Preserve allows for the intelligent contemplation of our valuable natural resources and the most effective ways to maximize them and keep them protected.

Neil Siskind, Founder, “National Fatherhood Day” – March 29th

Neil-Siskind-pics
To encourage recognition of the needs of boys and girls who are living without fathers or father-figures in their lives.

Read about the non-profits and charities whose missions Neil Siskind supports and promotes: www.neilsiskindsupports.com
Caring is Free®

You can read what clients and associates say about Neil Siskind at: http://siskindlawfirm.com/neil-siskind-bio/.

Neil Siskind’s Volunteer Work:

– Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, Volunteer

– Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, My Fundraiser- Help Neil Siskind help children with cancer to be more comfortable: http://mskcc.convio.net/site/TR?px=3182108&fr_id=2632&pg=personal

– Make-A Wish Foundation- Help Neil Siskind make sick children’s wishes come true by creating your own fundraiser: Neil-Siskind/Help-Make-A-Child-Smile.htm

– DonorsChoose.org- Donate to one of my needy public classrooms: http://www.donorschoose.org/NeilSiskindGiving

– Champion Children– We seek to inspire people through stories of children who have overcome challenges: http://siskindlawfirm.com/neil-siskind-champion-children/


Neil Siskind’s Pro Bono
Work:

– Saving Senior Citizens- Protecting New York’s senior citizens from fraud and financial abuse www.savingseniorcitizens.com

– Senior FreeStart Business– Pro Bono: We seek to help put senior citizens in the right direction so that they can face the challenges of the modern economy: http://siskindlawfirm.com/free-start-business/

– Veteran FreeStart Business– Pro Bono: We seek to help put Iraq and Afghanistan war veterans in the right direction so that they can face the challenges of the modern economy: http://siskindlawfirm.com/free-start-business/

– In development: The Neil S. Siskind School of Hope: A free school to teach inner-city youths the skills of entrepreneurship and importance of economic self-sufficiency.

Neil Siskind’s Government Work:

– Suffolk County District Attorney’s Office, Boston, MA, 1994, Intern
– Office of Senator Christopher J. Dodd, Newington, CT, 1992, Intern
– Hartford County Department of Probation, Hartford, CT, 1991, Intern

Neil Siskind’s Community Assistance:

Financed & operated a legal clinic providing low-cost legal services to struggling Long Islanders during the recession to help clients resolve debt, organize finances, and launch new businesses.

Neil Siskind’s Professional Curriculum Vitae: http://neilsiskind.com/

Sponsored Advertisements

Inventors, IP Owners, Manufacturers
Learn How To Bring Products To Market And To Expand Your Distribution Channels
The Complete Guide To The Ways To Manufacture & Sell Your Products

Career Advice I Never Thought I’d Give

For young people, one career path to consider for stability is “sales”. Yes- sales. B2B sales, specifically.

Sales has, historically, not been considered a secure career path; especially versus the professions (lawyer, doctor, CPA). It used to be difficult to find a good attorney, doctor, or CPA whom you liked and who was located near to where you lived or worked. If you could find one within 10 miles- fantastic. Now, because of the Internet, you can find hundreds of any of them at a keystroke. Because of technology, supply of everything- even professionals- outweighs demand.

Short of the most specialized and in-demand skills (which changes so quickly these days), no career is considered “safe” anymore. It used to be hard for a business to find a person with the right skills; but, with the Internet, employers are flooded with applications for the same position from across the nation, and even the world.

Sales, of course, have always been important to businesses. But, because of the Internet, sales has become more important to businesses than other skills where other skills are easily obtained and replaced, and because customers can easily find competitive suppliers. Before the Internet, finding an employee took more time, as opposed to posting a global want-add online today, and finding a good supplier took more time, as opposed to a Google search. Relationships mean less than in the past.

B2B sales for those who excel at such, either because they have a great deal of connections and relationships and/or great people skills, can be a safe career choice. Manufacturers and distributors that sell their products to other businesses (either for such other businesses own uses as the end-user, or for use as components in such businesses products which are then sold to consumers) will pay base pays and benefits, plus commissions, for those who have proven abilities to sell, or who have a track record of B2B sales, or who prove to offer a valuable Rolodex.

If you can “sell”, then you can sell the most simple or the most sophisticated product; and if you can do that- you will always have a job.